Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Bush's 'colossal political miscalculation' a matter of bad timing?



At the National Journal, Beth Reinhard may have the most interesting take of all about the sudden Jeb Bush turnaround on immigration, which she calls a “colossal political miscalculation.”
This may be all about timing and the nature of book writing.


Reinhard reports that “when Bush and co-author Clint Bolick were writing the book during the 2012 presidential campaign, the GOP was veering far to the right. Republican nominee Mitt Romney had staked out a hardline position against illegal immigration, blasting his primary rivals as pro-amnesty and promoting ‘self-deportation’ for undocumented workers. Bush sent the book to the printer before Christmas – weeks before a handful of Senate Republicans embraced a sweeping overhaul that, like the proposals backed by Bush’s brother, former President George W. Bush, would allow illegal immigrants to earn citizenship.”

In other words, Bush's political party moved a lot faster than the book-publishing world.

“He sent the book to the printer at a time when he was anticipating the direction of the debate tilting against citizenship. It is clearly contrary to what he has said before,” Marshall Fitz, director of immigration policy at the liberal Center for American Progress told Reinhard. “In hindsight, Americans have always judged severely efforts to deny citizenship to classes of people. Is this really the GOP's path out of the political wilderness?”

Bush may have made things worse for himself this morning on MSNBC's "Morning Joe," when he started backpedaling. “If you can craft that in law, where you can have a path to citizenship where there isn’t an incentive for people to come illegally, I’m for it," he said.

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