Wednesday, July 10, 2013

The good and the not-so-good news about the Michigan economy




Michigan’s economic picture continues to improve, though not at the pace of 2010 when the state emerged strongly from the Great Recession.

The good news is that Michigan led the nation, by a fairly wide margin, in generating new manufacturing jobs from December 2009 to March 2013, according to the newest info compiled by Business Leaders for Michigan.
The not-so-good news is that Michigan's GDP growth slowed considerably in 2012 from the previous year, according to BLM, which relies upon data released by the U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis.  

Michigan's GDP growth in 2012 was 2.2%, down from 3.5% in 2011 and 4.9% in 2010.  The 2012 growth rate is slightly below the U.S. average of 2.5% and ranks us 18th nationally.  Michigan's slower growth rate is partially due to coming off a higher base than we were a few years ago and the plateauing of manufacturing's rapid resurgence. 
Within the Great Lakes region Michigan performed as well or better than all states but Indiana.  Nationally, the west coast and energy states saw the highest rates of growth.  



The Mackinac Center notes that, since the recession ended in June 2009, Michigan has had the sixth-highest job growth in the nation at 6.4 percent, trailing North Dakota at 21.6 percent, Utah at 9.5 percent, Texas at 9.3 percent, Tennessee at 6.8 percent, and Indiana and Colorado, which tied for the fifth spot at 6.6 percent. The Mackinac folks also cite information from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
On the other hand, Michigan’s unemployment rate was 8.4 percent in May, which was ninth highest in the nation. Nevada led the U.S. with an unemployment rate of 9.5 percent. Michigan’s unemployment rate peaked at 14.2 percent in August 2009.

According to CNBC, manufacturing jobs in the U.S. appear to be coming back -- if ever so slightly. Several American firms, including Caterpillar, GE and Ford have announced they are shifting some manufacturing operations back to the United States, mainly because of increasing production and energy costs overseas.
And since January of 2010, the United States has added 520,000 manufacturing jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. There are currently 12 million manufacturing jobs on record in the United States. But the U.S. is clearly in catch-up mode.
One advantage the U.S. has for manufacturers is lower energy costs-thanks in no small part to an ongoing boom around natural gas found in shale formations.

Here’s the really bad news, as reported by Yahoo: A study released last year by the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF) concluded that manufacturing in the U.S. declined more in the last decade than it did in the Great Depression.
The ITIF says that translates into some 5.7 million lost jobs in manufacturing- at an "average loss of 1,276 manufacturing jobs every day for the past 12 years."
In fact, in January 2012 there were more unemployed Americans (12.8 million) than there were Americans who worked in manufacturing (just under 12 million) the ITIF said.




 

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